Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.141152 0.160486 0.181871 0.207342 0.236935 0.270328 0.310998
2026-02-08 0.108832 0.134167 0.164886 0.205146 0.256923 0.321812 0.410137
2026-02-15 0.089524 0.116974 0.152549 0.202599 0.272101 0.366549 0.506923
2026-02-22 0.078786 0.107888 0.147704 0.207096 0.295060 0.423143 0.628646
2026-03-01 0.068686 0.097704 0.139199 0.204162 0.305711 0.462510 0.731280
2026-03-08 0.061574 0.090569 0.133685 0.204172 0.319868 0.508382 0.852018
2026-03-15 0.055813 0.084574 0.128866 0.204159 0.333368 0.554606 0.981784
2026-03-22 0.051988 0.081020 0.127234 0.208784 0.354875 0.617423 1.154061
2026-03-29 0.048417 0.077403 0.124958 0.211804 0.373715 0.678207 1.335166
2026-04-05 0.045251 0.074065 0.122682 0.214366 0.391850 0.740384 1.532649
2026-04-12 0.042822 0.071691 0.121733 0.219096 0.414642 0.815411 1.775220
2026-04-19 0.040046 0.068411 0.118784 0.219588 0.428943 0.875181 1.996971
2026-04-26 0.037348 0.065062 0.115455 0.219116 0.441645 0.934851 2.236735
2026-05-03 0.034682 0.061529 0.111429 0.216769 0.450081 0.986803 2.471825
2026-05-10 0.032261 0.058221 0.107481 0.214056 0.457253 1.037119 2.716658
2026-05-17 0.030912 0.056825 0.107108 0.218842 0.482283 1.135765 3.127807
2026-05-24 0.028869 0.053885 0.103342 0.215720 0.488065 1.186693 3.411811
2026-05-31 0.027322 0.051795 0.101103 0.215730 0.501508 1.260568 3.791877
2026-06-07 0.025908 0.049849 0.098971 0.215716 0.514891 1.337089 4.206527
2026-06-14 0.025032 0.048933 0.098940 0.220639 0.541947 1.458443 4.821599
2026-06-21 0.024076 0.047765 0.098241 0.223855 0.564986 1.573186 5.456450
2026-06-28 0.023149 0.046581 0.097388 0.226583 0.587171 1.690517 6.148719
2026-07-05 0.022449 0.045829 0.097441 0.231620 0.616879 1.839169 7.033838